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HERITAGE FINANCIAL CORP /WA/ (HFWA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 results showed continued core improvement: adjusted EPS of $0.56 and GAAP EPS of $0.55, with net interest margin expanding 13 bps QoQ to 3.64% and efficiency ratio improving to 63.3% (from 72.7% in Q2) .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, EPS was essentially in line/slightly above ($0.56 vs $0.552*) while revenue was modestly below ($63.9m vs $65.3m*, -2.1%); net revenue framing (NII after provision + noninterest income) explains the delta versus gross NII + fees . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Deposits grew $73m QoQ with a richer mix (noninterest demand +2.1%), funding costs declined (interest-bearing deposit cost 1.89%), and FHLB borrowings were reduced by $125m, all supporting the NIM uplift .
  • Credit remained solid despite a rise in nonaccruals tied to two construction loans expected to resolve without loss; ACL/loans increased to 1.13% while NCOs remained de minimis .
  • Strategic catalysts: pending acquisition of Olympic Bancorp (Kitsap Bank) tracking to close in Q1 2026 and a maintained $0.24 dividend support medium-term profitability and capital return narrative .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Margin and earnings momentum: “Improving net interest margin and tight controls on non-interest expense growth continue to incrementally drive earnings higher,” with adjusted EPS +5.7% QoQ and adjusted ROA at 1.11% .
    • Funding mix/price improved: cost of interest-bearing deposits fell 5 bps QoQ to 1.89%; deposits rose $73.1m with NIBs +2.1% QoQ; borrowings cut by $125m .
    • Solid credit tone: management highlighted nonaccrual additions (two construction loans) are near completion with “no loss expected,” and criticized loans declined QoQ .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Revenue miss vs consensus: SPGI “revenue” (NII after provision + noninterest income) was ~$1.37m below Street; security-loss noise from prior quarters still affects YoY comps framing . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
    • Nonaccruals up: nonaccrual loans rose to $17.6m (0.37% of loans) from $9.9m (0.21%); NPL/loans to 0.44% (from 0.39%) .
    • Expense puts: professional fees included ~$0.63m merger costs and state revenue tax increases add ~$0.3m per quarter to expenses going forward per CFO .

Financial Results

Revenue/EPS/Margins vs prior periods and estimates

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue (SPGI “net revenue”) ($m)$50.52 $55.54 $63.92 vs $65.29e (-2.1%)*
Net Interest Income ($m)$52.96 $54.98 $57.37
Provision for Credit Losses ($m)$2.44 $0.96 $1.78
Noninterest Income ($m)$1.84 $1.52 $8.33
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.33 $0.36 $0.55
Adjusted Diluted EPS$0.45 $0.53 $0.56 vs $0.552e (inline)*
Net Interest Margin (%)3.30 3.51 3.64
Efficiency Ratio (%)71.7 72.7 63.3

Notes: SPGI “Revenue” presented as Net interest income after provision plus noninterest income (i.e., net revenue), aligning with SPGI “actual.” Values retrieved from S&P Global* for estimates.

Segment/Loan Mix (Balances, $m)

CategoryQ2 2025Q3 2025QoQ $QoQ %
Commercial & Industrial$831.10 $819.08 -$12.02-1.4%
Owner-occupied CRE$1,014.89 $1,022.73 $7.840.8%
Non-owner occupied CRE$1,939.75 $1,938.19 -$1.56-0.1%
Residential RE$383.93 $374.88 -$9.05-2.4%
Residential Construction$78.07 $90.44 $12.3715.8%
Comm/Multifam Construction$355.27 $351.20 -$4.07-1.1%
Consumer$171.85 $172.66 $0.810.5%
Total Loans$4,774.86 $4,769.16 -$5.70-0.1%

Key KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Cost of Interest-bearing Deposits (%)2.02 1.94 1.89
Cost of Total Deposits (%)1.42 1.40 1.37
Noninterest-bearing Deposits ($b)$1.68 $1.58 $1.62
Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (%)82.0 82.5 81.4
ROAA (%)0.63 0.70 1.09
ROATCE (%)7.62 7.85 11.86
ACL / Loans (%)1.10 1.10 1.13
Nonaccrual / Loans (%)0.09 0.21 0.37
NPL / Loans (%)0.21 0.39 0.44
Liquidity Coverage of Uninsured Deposits (%)100.4 100.6

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net interest margin trajectoryNear-termNot quantifiedModest further improvement possible; help from deposit costs, loan yields flattish; September NIM 3.66% vs 3.64% for Q3 Directionally positive
Deposit costsNear-termNot quantifiedExpect continued decreases, focus on ~$1bn exception-priced deposits (~3%) to work down over time Lower
Organic loan growthFY 2025 Q4Prior commentary implied potential pickupNow expect Q4 balances flat from continued larger payoffs; growth to resume in 2026 Lower for Q4; 2026 higher
Organic loan growthFY 2026Not previously quantifiedMid-to-high single digit outlook Introduced
Expenses (core)Near-term~$41–42m run-rate (prior quarter)Low $41m core plus ~$0.3m/qtr incremental state revenue tax; additional merger costs to continue Slightly higher baseline
Capital actions2025OpportunisticRepurchases paused for remainder of 2025; preserve capital ahead of merger Lower buybacks
LDR targetMedium-termNot specifiedTarget ~85% and comfortable modestly above Introduced
Olympic Bancorp (Kitsap) closeTimingAnnounced 9/25/25 Tracking to close in Q1 2026; integration planning on track Timed

No formal numerical top-line or EPS guidance issued.

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Net interest marginQ1: NIM +8 bps to 3.44% QoQ; Q2: NIM +7 bps to 3.51% NIM 3.64% (+13 bps); September 3.66% Improving
Deposit costs/competitionQ1: cost of IBD down to 1.92% ; Q2: 1.94%, strong competition IBD cost 1.89%; working down exception-priced deposits; competition varies by market Improving mix; competitive
Loan growth/pipelinesQ1: commitments $201m; Q2: $268m; payoffs elevated Commitments $341m; pipeline $511m; expect Q4 flat balances, 2026 mid-to-high single-digit growth Building pipeline; balances flat near-term
Credit qualityQ1: stable classifieds 1.4% ; Q2: classifieds up to 2.1%; nonaccruals up to $9.9m Nonaccruals $17.6m (two construction loans, no expected loss); criticized declined; NCOs minimal Mixed: NPA up, losses low
ExpensesQ1–Q2: core ~41–41.4m Core low $41m, +$0.3m/quarter from state revenue tax; merger costs ongoing Slight upward pressure
Liquidity/capitalQ1–Q2: liquidity ~100%+ of uninsured; borrowings trending down Liquidity 100.6% of uninsured; FHLB borrowings cut $125m QoQ Strengthened
M&A (Olympic/Kitsap)Announced 9/25/25 On schedule; closing targeted Q1 2026 On track

Management Commentary

  • “Improving net interest margin and tight controls on non-interest expense growth continue to incrementally drive earnings higher... Adjusted ROA improved to 1.11%” – Bryan McDonald, CEO .
  • “Spot rate on cost of deposits... interest-bearing 1.87%; total cost 1.35%. NIM for September was 3.66%” – Don Hinson, CFO .
  • “We halted loss trade activity in Q3… and did not purchase any securities” – CFO .
  • “Two loans totaling $6.7 million… townhome construction… nearly complete… no loss expected” – Chief Credit Officer .
  • “Average third quarter interest rate for new commercial loans was 6.67%… all new loans 6.71%” – CEO .
  • “Repurchases are paused for remainder of the year… unlikely to resume this calendar year” – CFO .
  • “State raised their revenue tax rate… impact about $300,000 per quarter” – CFO .
  • “Target [loan-to-deposit ratio] ~85% and be comfortable a bit higher” – Management .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin outlook: Expect muted further NIM improvement as deposit costs decline with rate cuts; loan yields flattish near-term; fully-floating exposure tempers upside .
  • Deposit pricing: Focus on working down ~$1bn of exception-priced deposits (~3%) over time; new accounts often price above portfolio average given competition .
  • Loan growth: Q4 balances likely flat due to chunky payoffs; expect 2026 mid-to-high single-digit growth as payoffs normalize and net advances turn positive .
  • Expenses: Core expense baseline in low $41m per quarter plus ~$0.3m/qtr state revenue tax; merger costs to persist through close/integration .
  • Capital & buybacks: Preserving capital around the transaction; buybacks paused; stance post-close TBD .
  • M&A integration: Olympic/Kitsap on track for early Q1 2026 close; integration progressing as planned .

Estimates Context

MetricConsensus*Actual/CompanySurprise
EPS (Adjusted)$0.552* (6 est.)$0.56+$0.008 (~+1.5%)*
Revenue (Net revenue)$65.29m* (5 est.)$63.92m-$1.37m (~-2.1%)*

Notes: SPGI “Revenue” aligns to net interest income after provision plus noninterest income; company GAAP diluted EPS was $0.55, adjusted $0.56 . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.

Implications: Slight EPS beat/in-line with a modest revenue miss suggests better-than-modeled provision/fee mix and disciplined funding costs. Street models may adjust future quarters toward: slightly higher NIM trajectory, slightly lower provision path, and flattish late-2025 loan balances.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core profitability inflects: NIM 3.64% (+34 bps YoY) and efficiency 63.3% underpin expanding returns (ROAA 1.09%, ROATCE 11.86%) .
  • Funding tailwinds: Deposit growth and mix, falling deposit costs, and $125m borrowing reduction support further (albeit muted) NIM gains near-term .
  • Credit stable despite higher NPAs: Nonaccrual uptick tied to two construction loans with no expected loss; NCOs remain very low; ACL/loans up to 1.13% .
  • Near-term balance sheet: Expect Q4 loans flat as payoffs persist; 2026 organic growth targeted mid-to-high single digits .
  • Expense run-rate watch: Core low-$41m/qtr plus ~$0.3m/qtr state tax increase; merger costs to continue through close/integration .
  • Strategic catalyst: Olympic/Kitsap deal on track for Q1 2026; expected to bolster profitability and balance sheet positioning in Puget Sound .
  • Trading lens: Modest margin upside, strong credit performance, and M&A visibility provide support; key sensitivities include deposit competition, pace of rate cuts, and construction loan exits .

Additional detail and source tables:

  • Consolidated results (Income Statement, NIM and yields):
  • Balance sheet, deposits/mix, borrowings, capital:
  • Credit metrics (ACL, nonaccrual, NPL ratios):
  • Dividend announcement: $0.24 per share (declared 10/22/25) .
  • Management quotes and Q&A references: .

S&P Global estimate data used in “Estimates Context” and revenue line items marked with an asterisk (*) are Values retrieved from S&P Global.